Aimim’s presence in 2022 Assembly elections will not affect Opposition – Owaisi will challenge more opposition than BJP in UP, SP will suffer the most, see-analysis

Asaduddin Owaisi, Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath and Akhilesh Yadav.
– Photo: Amarj Jala

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With two and a half years left till the 2022 Assembly elections, political parties active in other states along with the state have become active for their future prospects in UP politics. Whether it is Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal or All India Majlis-e-Etehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) leader Asaduddin Owaisi.

How successful they will be can be seen from the results of the Assembly elections, but on Wednesday Owaisi and BJP’s ally Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party (Subhasp) leader Omprakash Rajbhar met with future politics and the 2022 equations of its respective states. It only points in the direction of finding the possibilities of the foot.

However, for the first time, Owaisi is not showing interest in the UP elections. They have been exploring their prospects since the last several elections in UP. Assembly 2017 or Lok Sabha elections 2019. But AIIMM alone could not do any miracle.

There were discussions of alliance between him and the BSP in the last assembly elections, but they did not land. At the same time, in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, there was talk of meeting some of their parties for entry into the constituency, but that did not change in reality. As far as the recent attempt by Owaisi’s party to explore the possibility of contesting elections in alliance with some parties in UP, one thing needs to be understood here.

In fact, the recent victory of five candidates in Bihar has revived Owaisi’s desire to become a part of North Indian politics. They think that if some parties in UP are fighting in Bihar like in Bihar, then perhaps AIMIM will also have a political presence in the assembly here.

Former Chairperson of the Department of Political Science, Lucknow University, Prof. Rakesh Kumar Mishra says that the desire to register the presence of every political party in UP is also due to the fact that the state equations have a greater impact on national politics.

The success of Bihar has ignited a glimmer of political hope in Owaisi’s heart and mind about UP. Owaisi feels that even if there is an alliance with the Rajbhar, BSP or other parties with other ethnic influences, caste equations can improve the maths of Muslim votes and put up some seats like Bihar.

– Dr .. Mishra seems right. A big reason for Owaisi’s interest in UP is that it has a good number of 18% of the Muslim population. In some districts, Muslims make up 0% of the population. In such a scenario, Owaisi feels that by splitting from the Rajbhar, BSP or SP with Muslim votes in some seats, Shivpal Singh Yadav’s Prasad can form a front with some other smaller parties and get their votes, then succeed in registering a political presence in the state.

– Although Owaisi did not meet Shivpal on Wednesday, Shivpal himself had said in the past that talks were underway with Owaisi about the 2022 elections. Although this question has its own place, how much benefit Rajbhar and Shivpal, who formed the front with Overseas, will get from the Muslim vote, but if the front is formed, Owaisi can definitely get some benefit. As far as the BJP is concerned, Owaisi’s activities will not make much difference to his health as Owaisi will cut mainly Muslim votes, with the SP and to some extent the Congress suffering the most.

– The BJP may lose only a few Rajbhar votes, but the Opposition will compensate for the split of votes due to the presence of Owaisi. It is clear that Owesi’s activism is just an attempt to find his land.

With two and a half years left till the 2022 Assembly elections, political parties active in other states along with the state have become active for their future prospects in UP politics. Whether it is Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal or All India Majlis-e-Itehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) leader Asaduddin Owaisi.

How successful they will be is known from the results of the Assembly elections, but on Wednesday Owaisi and BJP’s ally Suheldev Bharatiya Samaj Party (Subhasp) leader Omprakash Rajbhar completed the 2022 equations in future politics and their respective states. Points for exploring the possibilities of the foot.

However, for the first time, Owaisi is not showing interest in the UP elections. He has been exploring his prospects since the last several elections in UP. Assembly 2017 or Lok Sabha elections 2019. But AIMIM alone could not do any miracle.

Read ahead

The alliance with the BSP was discussed in the last assembly elections

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